26 October 2009

The Pentagon's New Africa Push

Counter-terrorism is now a major focus of the year-old U.S. Africa Command.

Saturday, Oct. 24, 2009
by Sean J. Miller National Journal

Once the forgotten continent, Africa has growing strategic importance in America's fight against terrorism. A recent commando operation that killed a top organizer for Al Qaeda in Somalia is one part of the U.S. military's new multifaceted approach to regional security, which includes deepening ties between the Pentagon and African armies and putting American soldiers in the role of nation builders.

The absence of stable governments has led to the Horn of Africa becoming a haven for Qaeda operatives. It's here that U.S. intelligence recently tracked Saleh Ali Saleh Nabhan, a Kenyan wanted by the FBI for his involvement in attacks against a hotel in Mombasa in 2002 and in the 1998 bombings of U.S. embassies in Nairobi, Kenya, and Dar es Salaam, Tanzania. On September 14, U.S. Special Forces troops ambushed and killed Nabhan as his convoy stopped for breakfast in southern Somalia.

U.S. officials didn't waste any time trumpeting the strike. In a speech to the Center for American Progress in Washington the next day, Johnnie Carson, assistant secretary of State for African affairs, hailed Nabhan's death as a blow to Al Qaeda and its Somali ally Al Shabab. "We think that his departure from the scene probably makes us all who work in and around East Africa a little bit safer, a little bit more secure," he said. But two days later, Al Shabab offered its own reply. It launched a successful suicide attack against U.S.-backed African Union peacekeepers in Mogadishu. The twin suicide bombing killed some 15 soldiers, including Maj. Gen. Juvenal Niyoyunguruza, the Burun-dian deputy commander of the A.U. force. It was the deadliest attack to date against the multinational peacekeepers -- Al Shabab called it revenge for Nabhan's killing.

Counter-terrorism is now a major focus of the nascent U.S. Africa Command -- AFRICOM for short. But the command, which is celebrating its one-year anniversary this month, won't always rely on American troops to neutralize the threat posed by extremist groups, at least not directly.

Rather than hunting and killing terrorists, AFRICOM focuses on "professionalizing" African militaries so that they can better confront local security challenges on their own, U.S. commanders say, while at the same time teaching soldiers to respect human rights and civilian rule. These efforts, however, have possible downsides. In an area of the world still scarred by colonialism, the U.S. military risks being associated with a rogues' gallery of African military leaders, and it remains to be seen whether an indirect approach can improve the security situation in a country such as Somalia, where the U.S.-backed Transitional Federal Government is almost powerless.

At its most basic level, AFRICOM represents a bureaucratic reshuffling: The U.S. Central, European, and Pacific commands had divided responsibility for the continent. Building relationships with America's African partners, commanders said, was difficult when they didn't know whether to call Honolulu or Tampa, Fla., to get a desk officer on the phone. "We were not nearly as responsive as we needed to be to the priorities, perspectives, and needs of our African partners," said Navy Vice Adm. Robert Moeller, in a phone interview from the command's headquarters in Stuttgart, Germany. Creating AFRICOM was "a clear recognition on the [Pentagon's] part that we need to be organized in a way to much more effectively deal with those things that matter to our African partners."

The U.S. military had been conducting a variety of exchange programs and training exercises with African militaries. AFRICOM simply placed these programs under one roof. It also put a new focus on partnering with civilian agencies and African militaries on aid projects, such as, say, funding the construction of Ugandan schools.

Moeller maintains that AFRICOM's goal is to ward off conflict "by not only better preparing their security forces but, through our support for other government agencies that work with these nations, to create the overall conditions" that would make violent extremism a less attractive option. Still, Moeller added, this mission doesn't mean that the U.S. military has forsaken the use of force. "If we are directed to take some action as a result of a U.S. policy decision, we're obviously prepared to do that." Moeller and others stress that AFRICOM hasn't superseded State's role in U.S.-African relations. "None of these types of training activities or programs or exchanges are done without the full concurrence of the chief of mission in that parti-cular country," said Louis Mazel, State's director of regional and security affairs for Africa.

But many observers still have reservations about the new command. "In Africa, uniforms are feared, even hated," says Berouk Mesfin, an Ethiopian-based researcher with the Institute for Security Studies. "When you have other armies trying to come in, telling people they are coming to help them build schools, clinics, etc. -- people are obviously suspicious."

Having AFRICOM's chief, Army Gen. William Ward, appear publicly with African leaders is also problematic, Mesfin warned. "There's a feeling that ... the roots of the problem in Africa are [actually] the governments in place, the rulers who never want to relinquish power [or] not even to share power," he said. "Whenever you are dealing with those guys, that creates a negative impression among the populace. There is no middle ground in Africa."

State's Mazel recognizes that AFRICOM's profile can influence public perception of the U.S. "Do we have a concern about a perception? Yes," he said, "but do we have a concern that there will be a militarization of American foreign policy? No. Foreign-policy formation, foreign-policy implementation on the African continent will be led by civilian elements."

Somalia poses a different policy challenge. "The problem in Somalia is, you don't have a partner. You have a Transitional Federal Government, which isn't a government -- there is no indirect method," said J. Peter Pham, a fellow at the National Committee on American Foreign Policy who studies the Horn of Africa.

There's also the risk that the U.S. military is training, and in some cases equipping, African armies for their next war. This summer, the State Department said, it was providing "arms and munitions and training" to the TFG's modest forces. Meanwhile, in Ethiopia next door, AFRICOM maintains a relationship with that country's National Defense Forces, providing some "limited equipment support." And AFRICOM helps train that country's noncommissioned officer corps, said Rear Adm. Anthony Kurta, who commands Camp Lemonier, the U.S. military base in Djibouti. Ethiopia recently occupied parts of Somalia at the "invitation" of the country's transitional government, reigniting old tensions between the neighbors.

Policy makers are aware of the risks, Mazel said. "By making a military more proficient, are we creating a more professional army that will pose a risk either to its neighbors or to people in the region? Or are we creating a sort of praetorian guard for the leadership of the country? That's certainly not the hope that we have."

While AFRICOM is expanding its military-to-military cooperation, the State Department is also maintaining a program for training African militaries, albeit with a focus on peacekeeping. "Most, if not virtually all, of the African peacekeepers' training is being done through the State Department," Mazel said. In West Africa, for instance, "we've trained, through State Department-funded programs, the new armed forces" in Liberia, he said. "But we've also had mentors and trainers come from the military to support what we've been doing. Yes, there's been an overlap there, but it's continuous. It's not as if our civilian trainers are teaching one thing and the AFRICOM [trainers] are teaching another."

The indirect approach being touted by AFRICOM is punctuated with demonstrations of U.S. force, such as the precision strike against Nabhan. Some analysts, however, worry that such attacks may be counterproductive. In the Horn of Africa, Mesfin said, "what people see is actually who had the last laugh."

Still, Mesfin said that countries in the region are nervous after Al Shabab demonstrated its ability to carry out an organized attack. The suicide bombing in Mogadishu seemed to embolden the group, Mesfin said. Al Shabab warned Djibouti not to send troops to help the A.U. mission, and it even threatened Nairobi-based Ugandan and Burundian diplomats. The ambassadors "actually received text messages on their mobiles saying that their embassies in Nairobi will be attacked," Mesfin said. "People are nervous in Nairobi."

American observers warn against giving Al Shabab too much credit. "Even if Nabhan hadn't been terminated, [the suicide attack] probably would have happened anyways," Pham said. "It was attempted earlier in the summer and they failed." One thing is clear: U.S. policy in Africa will have to be quick to adapt to a fluid situation. "When you get involved in the Horn, you're either supporting one of the parties or changing the balance of power," Mesfin said. "Acting as a neutral observer doesn't work."